Thinking, Fast and SlowMajor New York Times bestseller |
From inside the book
The reliance on the heuristic caused predictable biases (systematic errors) in their predictions. On another occasion, Amos and I wondered about the rate of divorce among professors in our university. We noticed that the question ...
Amos and I spent several years studying and documenting biases of intuitive thinking in various tasks—assigning probabilities to events, forecasting the future, assessing hypotheses, and estimating frequencies.
We did not fully realize it at the time, but a key reason for the broad ap- peal of“heuristics and biases” outside psychology was an incidental feature of our work: we almost always included in our articles the full text of the ...
Here again, as in judgment, we observed systematic biases in our own decisions, intuitive preferences that consistently violated the rules of rational choice. Five years after the Science ar- ticle, we published “Prospect Theory: An ...
System 1 has biases, however, systematic errors that it is prone to make in specified circumstances. As we shall see, it sometimes answers easier questions than the one it was asked, and it has little understanding of logic and ...
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LibraryThing Review
User Review - paven - LibraryThingA model for how we think. Either fast and lose or slow with the possibility of more correct decisions. Thinking fast we risk jumping to conclusions, not see the broad picture, have planning fallacies ... Read full review
LibraryThing Review
User Review - antao - LibraryThingDaniel Kahneman got the Nobel Prize some 20 years ago for research done since 1969 on human judgement and decision making. In 2011 he published the best-seller, "Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow", a ... Read full review