Thinking, Fast and SlowMajor New York Times bestseller |
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... SPECIALTY LINDA: LESS IS MORE CAUSES TRUMP STATISTICS REGRESSION TO THE MEAN TAMING INTUITIVE PREDICTIONS 109 119 129 137 146 156 166 175 185 APPENDIX A: JUDGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY APPENDIX B: CHOICES, VALUES, AND CONTENTS.
... predictions were absurd, but we still found them appealing. It was also clear that our intuitions were governed by the resemblance of each child to the cultural stereotype of a profession. The amusing exercise helped us develop a theory ...
... predictions. On another occasion, Amos and I wondered about the rate of divorce among professors in our university. We noticed that the question triggered a search of memory for divorced professors we knew or knew about, and that we ...
... predictions are usually accurate as well, and its initial reactions to challenges are swift and generally appropriate. System 1 has biases, however, systematic errors that it is prone to make in specified circumstances. As we shall see ...
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